Bills QB Josh Allen has been one of the best under the bright lights this century. Since 2000, he has a 74.1% win percentage on prime time games. He is second behind only Lamar Jackson and is ahead of Peyton Manning. This season, Allen is currently ranked 6th in QB Impact Metric, while Jackson is 7th, according to proprietary metrics compiled by PFSN.
Josh Allen Can Continue Dolphins Dominance
Allen steps into Thursday night with a proven track record in marquee matchups and a high-impact profile validated by PFSN’s advanced models. What truly stands out this week is how PFSN’s Quarterback Impact Metric blends efficiency, volume, and a late-game clutch factor to capture the full nuance of quarterback value.
In just two games, Allen holds a 91.2 QBi grade, putting him amongst the elite. Not only does PFSN grade Allen top eight in EPA per dropback, but his ranking also reflects one of the best clutch scores in the league, reinforcing his status as a difference-maker when the stakes are highest.
PFSN’s system gives special weight to clean-pocket production and designed-rush efficiency, shining a light on Allen’s ability to keep drives alive and deliver in critical downs. Those skills come to the forefront on nights like Thursday, when game plans tighten and every possession counts. Against Miami, Buffalo’s quarterback brings a dominating history into play: Allen is 12-2 all-time against the Dolphins and unbeaten at home in Orchard Park, a fact underscored by his multiple passing touchdowns in each of Buffalo’s last eight home wins over the division rivals, tying an NFL record he could break tonight.
Bills QB Josh Allen has been one of the best under the bright lights this century. 🍿 pic.twitter.com/X3ZjIMEBPX
— PFSN (@PFSN365) September 18, 2025
Matchups add context to PFSN’s numbers. Miami arrives at 0-2, facing a Bills offense that is built to test a defense currently allowing the seventh-most yards and second-most points in the NFL. Allen’s primetime metrics are no accident—his skills are amplified on nights where execution and adaptability matter most. On Thursdays alone, Allen is 6-0, with a 107.5 passer rating and a 73.2% completion rate, producing 14 touchdowns and six interceptions while leading Buffalo to an undefeated record in those spots.
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Allen continues to approach these stage-setting games with determination and focus. When asked about his mindset ahead of facing Miami, Allen shared, “You have to keep giving yourself chances, and one thing I’ve certainly learned this past offseason is to trust in God’s timing. It never wrong and when’s meant occur, it will. You just have to keep placing yourself in situations where it can happen”.
Looking ahead to the Dolphins matchup, Allen also talked about what really matters to him this season, “Winning a Super Bowl doesn’t change who I am or change my life either, but it’s something that the city’s wanted for a very long time, and being able to contribute to that would mean more to me than any single trophy”.
Even Allen’s counterpart feels the pressure. Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa openly praised Allen earlier this week: “He’s top tier. If it’s not with his arm, it’s with his legs. That dude can do literally anything he wants. Definitely different skillset for me, I can’t do half of what he does when it comes to running the ball and how he can just chuck a ball down the field. He’s supreme when it comes to that”.
Thursday night brings season-defining stakes for an unbeaten Buffalo club and a Dolphins team desperate for answers. PFSN’s metrics suggest that Allen’s all-around value, especially in high-leverage spots, aligns perfectly with the primetime assignment. As competitive windows shorten and games tilt on a handful of critical plays, all eyes tonight will be on the quarterback who has delivered again and again when the night is at its brightest.