Austin – When it comes to the summer in the center of Texas, most people want to know two things: (1) How hot is that? And (2) Will we have enough water?
Many of what can be expected in the summer can depend on what happened in the previous seasons. The Kxan First Weather team has discussed factors that affect our hottest season and discuss them together during boats around Lake Travis, which still urgently need water in the summer months.
The rain in the winter and spring can affect the summer heat
“We know that from January to the end of April, it was more dry than the normal season, and most of them, if not everything, is related to our most important summer to remind the rains,” said meteorological world.
In fact, rainfall from December to April decreased by 30 % compared to the average, and it lost more than a month of typical rain during those four months.
Some of the most important summer in the registry came after the abnormally dry spring and winter seasons.
“When you think about his knowledge – if you get rainfall in the spring, or this rain, the water is in the soil. We enter in the summer months, it takes some of this thermal energy to evaporate this water before it goes directly to heating the air. Kristen Korean added.
The spread of drought and lakes that respond
The lack of rains has been consistent with gradually deteriorating drought over the past few months.
“One of the things that was amazing when we looked at these numbers … was 100 % of the center of Texas in a state of drought [through early May] Freddy Villa, compared to previous years when this was not bad, said.
“Nothing is more spent than the past nine months. We have been less than normal rains [each month] The predictive Rich Seagal added that there is a return from August 2024 along the way to April 2025.
The aggravating drought, until recently, and 9 months of average rainfall, had a somewhat clear impact on our lakes and the merits of water that acts as the primary water supply of central Texas.
“Given the common storage of Travis and Buchan lakes at the beginning of the year, and at the beginning of May it was higher than this stage last year, which you think is a good thing, but the flows are actually in reality minimum “From the drought that we have from the registry, which means that the next water does not come at a good pace at all, which means a declining trend in the lake levels somewhat quickly with the heading to the summer,” said meteorological specialist, meteorological specialist, said, “From the drought that we have from the record, which means that the next water does not come at a good pace at all, which means a declining trend in our lake levels somewhat quickly with the heading to the summer.”
Below you can see the storage of the lake combined over the past 12 months, which has been given some important storms in the late spring and summer last year, only to continue to continue continuously since last fall.
But the lack of rain in the past few months appears in our common flows, which is from the lowest date to date Water Alliance in the center of Texas
This means that with a little water that rushes to our lakes and we go to a season where we use a lot of water, the lake levels may decrease incredibly quickly.
The last time lake Travis was full in late 2018 until early 2019 after the flooding of the LLANO River.
Maintaining water is the key
The main attrition on storing water in Lake Travis and Lake Bokanan are evaporation and irrigation. In fact, according to LCRA, Up to 70 % of the use of household water during the summer comes from irrigationWhich means that there is a lot in our control that we can do to reduce the amount of water we take out of our lakes.
We can reduce water loss by reducing our personal use, investing in the original plants that require less water, or watering it wisely when we (late at night or early in the morning) must switch our landscape in order to get rid of zero to get rid of almost irrigation needs per capita completely.
Hot summer pattern
The widespread weather pattern that creates a major role in determining summer expectations.
The long -range CFS view indicates an average mode of our “summer heat dome” to our west, and focuses on the East New Mexico. This would make a summer more hot than last summer, but it is possible, not as miserable as it could be if the high -pressure heat dome is in the sky of the head.
Climate warming
Climate change continues to play a major role in the intense heat in central Texas.
It was the summer we have more hot. According to NasaScientists are “high confidence” in the continuous heating of decades in large part due to the burning of fossil fuels in human manufacture. All seasons rise, including our hottest season … summer.
the The Environmental Protection Agency expects Texas has 3 or 4 times the number of triple numbers in 2086 as we did in 2016.
according to Climate ClimateAn independent, non -profit group of scientists who communicate with climate information, the summer in Austin warm 4.7 degrees Fahrenheit since 1970.
People can expect our warm climate to continue to put its thumb on the scale towards more heat this summer as well.
Thermal safety
Although the mother nature that works against us, the tricks to overcome heat include wearing a large -edge hat, drinking a lot of water (before, during and after you are in the open air), with attention to your body, choosing loose clothes, and light -colored clothes.
Don’t forget your pet! Watch them early in the day or late in the evening when the asphalt temperatures are safer times.
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The risk of wilderness
Summer possibilities are more dry and hotter will only increase the risk of fires in the wild. Less water in the ground usually means less moisture in the air due to the low water available for evaporation. Less humidity in the air allows more hot temperatures while drying the vegetation more quickly than a hot and humid day. The most dry plants burn more quickly in a fire.
All this comes together to collect the average center of Texas for the firefights this summer, unless we can get more useful rains than we currently expect or if the rain this summer is spreading reasonably, which helps to prevent our vegetation completely.
The tropical areas are the wild card
While the Atlantic Hurricane season over the average is expected again this year, the phrase “everything that requires it” is still important for any benefits or risks we see locally from tropical areas. We can get internal tropical systems during a quieter season, but we can also lose any tropical rain during the most preoccupied seasons.
If we give a tropical system sticking in the middle of the summer, all bets are suspended from rain and heat expectations.
Our first summer expectations are warning:
In general, we expect a more hot and more dry summer than usual in central Texas. The average summer is witnessing 8.38 inches of rain in the Austin Mabri camp and we expect, with the exception of a tropical system, that we will get less.
Below our guesses for this year:
As for the triple days numbers? There is a variety of predictions between our team, but they are all over the annual average of 29. We had already two triple number in mid -May would be part of our annual aesthetics.