Home favourite and eighth seed Alejandro Tabilo continues his quest for the home crown, but standing in his way is a tough opponent in third seed Sebastián Báez. Tabilo enters the contest with a 10–5 record in 2026 and strong momentum from the South American swing, highlighted by a quarterfinal appearance in Buenos Aires and a runner-up finish in Rio de Janeiro.
On the other hand, the Argentine youngster enters the event with an 11-4 win-loss record and is chasing his first title of the season, as is his opponent.
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Sebastián Báez Match Details
Date: February 27, 2026
Tournament: BCI Seguros Chile Open 2026
Round: Quarterfinals
Venue: Santiago, Chile
Surface: Clay
Category: ATP 250
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, TSN, TVA
Tabilo vs. Báez Head-to-Head
Both players have faced each other three times on tour, but Báez holds a 3-2 head-to-head advantage over Tabilo and will enter the contest with confidence.
The Chilean began his 2026 campaign at the ATP 250 event in Hong Kong as a qualifier. After battling through the qualifying rounds, his run was cut short by the USA’s Michael Mmoh in straight sets. The struggles continued in Auckland with a second-round exit, followed by a first-round departure in Melbourne.
However, the tide turned dramatically during the South American swing as he rediscovered his rhythm on clay, reaching the quarterfinals in Buenos Aires before an impressive run in Rio de Janeiro, where he fell to World No. 33 Tomas Etcheverry in the final.
Meanwhile, Báez kicked off his season at the United Cup, going unbeaten as his team advanced to the quarterfinals. He carried that momentum into Auckland, reaching the final before falling to Jakub Menšík.
A second-round exit in Melbourne briefly stalled his progress, but the 25-year-old regrouped on clay to reach the semifinals in Buenos Aires. However, he was unable to sustain that form in Rio de Janeiro, bowing out in the opening round.
Tabilo vs. Báez Prediction
Tabilo has made full use of his serve at the ongoing Chile Open. The home favorite has struck 14 aces while winning 74% of his first-serve points and 67% behind his second. Báez, meanwhile, has managed just 2 aces in the tournament and has won 65% of his first-serve points and 52% on his second serve.
Although Báez has converted 38% of his break-point chances compared to Tabilo’s 35%, he has been exposed on his serve, conceding 15 break points against the Chilean’s mere six. In fact, the Argentine was broken four times in just one match in Santiago, while Tabilo has surrendered his serve only three times across two matches.
Both players arrive in solid form, but Tabilo appears to carry stronger momentum, given his better run throughout the 2026 South American swing. Thus, the Chilean could hold a slight edge heading into this encounter.
Pick: Tabilo to win in three sets.